The following EMail shows you the influence of the Muslim Brotherhood in the middle east, north africa connections and the arbaic world. the muslim brotherhood seems to play a big role in all this arab protests uprising all around the arab world. the EMails verified stratfor contact again comes from the FBI another part of this EMail is a “Syrian businessman with family links to the regime” – it gives you a short view of situation doen there and a view over the conflicts spreading around the countrys also the involvement of the muslim brotherhood.
Re: DISCUSSION – MB troubles
Date 2011-02-28 19:46:32
From burton@stratfor.com
To analysts@stratfor.com
Others Listname: mailto:analysts@stratfor.com
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InReplyTo: 1703833745.930286.1298918683296.JavaMail.root@core.stratfor.com
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A few weeks back, I posted some info from the FBI on the status of the
MB in CONUS, if it helps.
Reva Bhalla wrote:
> To follow up Kamran’s big piece on the MB, would be a good idea to do
> a shorter follow-up assessment on the status of MB in Egypt
> (post-mubarak), Syria and Jordan
>
> Egyptian MB seems to be in trouble, no longer as capable of keeping a
> liberal face to the protest movement. this identity crisis is causing
> fractures within the movement as we saw today between the MB youth and
> the older leadership
>
> Syrian MB is trying to work up the guts, but they still fear a Hama repeat
>
> Jordanian MB is being accommodated by the king, but they are also
> being shown their limits
>
> Kamran, any thoughts on how coordination between the MB branches has
> evolved since the Eygpt unrest broke out? what are these guys saying
> on their email lists?
>
> ————————————————————————
> *From: *”Reva Bhalla”
> *To: *”Analyst List”
> *Sent: *Monday, February 28, 2011 12:40:02 PM
> *Subject: *INSIGHT – Syria/Libya/MB – MB protest plans and bashar’s
> diss to Q
>
>
> PUBLICATION: for analysis
> ATTRIBUTION: STRATFOR source
> SOURCE DESCRIPTION: Syrian businessman with family links to the regime
> SOURCE Reliability : C
> ITEM CREDIBILITY: 3
> DISTRIBUTION: Analysts
> SOURCE HANDLER: Reva
>
> ** love the syrian excuse given to Q
>
> the Syrian MB is closely coordinating with the MB in Egypt, Jordan,
> Libya and Gaza and observing the course of developments in Libya. They
> expect the imminent demise in Qhaddafi and want to develop a mechanism
> for toppling Asad on the basis of what they learn from the experiences
> of protesters in other Arab countries. It would be foolish to try to
> oust Asad because the regime will react with unprecedented use of
> force. The MB have already decided on starting their protest in
> Aleppo in northern Syria. The MB are encouraged by the fact that
> Aleppo, which is Syria’s second largest city (although there are
> people in Syria who argue that the Aleppo Metropolis is the country’s
> largest), is only 20 kms away from the Turkish borders. They do not
> think the Turkish government will allow the regime in Damascus to use
> excessive violence against Aleppo which they make historical claims
> to. Syrian officials are contacting their Turkish counterparts to
> ensure Ankara does not intervene in the north. It is most unlikely
> that protests can initiate in Damascus, Homs or Hama because the
> regime can abort them immediately. Aleppo is another matter because
> this large city has never accepted inclusion in the state of Syria and
> had always wanted to be included in Iraq.
>
> The source added that Libyan president Mu’ammar Qhaddafi has called
> president Bashar Asad three times to request military assistance. He
> says Qhaddafi promised Asad billions of dollars if he could send
> troops by sea to Libya to defeat the insurgents. Asad told him he is
> unable to do so because the Syrian army is tied to the Golan front in
> anticipation of an Israeli attack
Related Links:
http://wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1125344_re-discussion-mb-troubles-.html
intelligenceleaks 