Killings By US-Drones Part 1 – Anwar al-Awlaki Death Operation

The Following Stratfor EMail was written short after the US Drone Killing of the so called (since 2001) CIA Al-Quaida most wanted hit list. This case was a brake of all rules of human rights the US of A stands for by President Barack Hussein Obama II and the Bush Administration because they set him on a Kill List and wanted him dead.

The headhunting CIA suceeded this operation in late 2011, exactly on september 30th 2011.

The following EMail from strafor is giving you a great view into the connection between different intelligence agencys. Anwar al-Awlaki was murdered by a drone strike in yemen on sept. 30th it did not take long Stratfor Intelligence Service get the information of the succeed kill strike the same day.

Question posed to source:

Got any idea where we nailed Awlaki in your old goat stomping grounds?

Source response:

I understand it was in the south near Aden by drones. Good shot, I must say.

Drone Strike killing by a Predator 2 Drones.

My apologies — wrong source code was used on this one — please note
the change to SA701.

More info from the same source — question posed:

Indeed! Think manned or Global Hawk?

Response from source —

Unmanned from what I understand.

ATTRIBUTION: None
SOURCE DESCRIPTION: Riyadh-based US security official
PUBLICATION: For background only
SOURCE RELIABILITY: A
ITEM CREDIBILITY: B
SPECIAL HANDLING: None
SOURCE HANDLER: Fred

Anwar al-Awlaki´s son – 16 years old was killed 2 weeks later the same way by US Officials ordered drone strikes.

This is part one of a series you can follow now on Intelligence Leaks all about WikiLeaks Global Intelligence Files and US Drone Killings in different countries.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anwar_al-Awlaki

Talk about:

http://www.wikileaks-forum.com/index.php/topic,17576.0.html

Source:

http://wikileaks.org/gifiles/releasedate/2013-02-17-00-alpha-more-insight-yemen-awlaki-death-op-sa701.html

Pakistan Sept. 2011 – The Agency (CIA) Has Declared An Internal Intelligence War On ISI.

This Mail is from september 2011 and it is about the CIA and the ISI (Pakistan military Intelligence Agency = Inter-Services Intelligence) in Pakistan and it is about the opressing power of the USA in that country. Stratfor Member comments on this Insight View are like: “I find it more interesting that the Agency has declared an internal intelligence war on ISI” and more on that below on the EMail: “Nobody is trusted.” furthermore they say the “CIA” is using “Moscow Rules.” against Pakistan and the ISI.

“The Agency is operating against Pakistan with Moscow Rules.

ISI is an enemy combatant.

The EMail comes from a “STRATFOR’s Pakistani sources” the source said: “I am getting the sense that the United States has decided to coerce Pakistan into compliance.” …, further it goes “If it continues on its current path then the U.S. could escalate matters further and engage in fixed wing airstrikes against militant assets in North Waziristan….”the main Haqqani facility is next door to the Pak army divisional command in Miramshah.” The source call this a “collateral damage”…”So in addition to collateral damage given the densely populated area a U.S. assault on the facility could kill many Pak army personnel.”

you can read the full EMAil the following lines:

Re: INSIGHT – U.S./PAKISTAN – Behind the escalation ***PROTECT SOURCE& INTEL***

Date 2011-09-28 15:12:30
From burton@stratfor.com
To sean.noonan@stratfor.com
secure@stratfor.com
Others MessageId:
InReplyTo: 1233806656-1317215394-cardhu_decombobulator_blackberry.rim.net-528774114-@b28.c15.bise6.blackberry

Text

Smoking gun, Libya levels after La Belle Disco bombing.

I find it more interesting that the Agency has declared an internal
intelligence war on ISI.

Nobody is trusted.

On 9/28/2011 8:09 AM, Sean Noonan wrote:

I wonder how much signals intercept the US has to show the Paks
lying…….

———————————————————————-

From: Fred Burton
Date: Wed, 28 Sep 2011 08:05:26 -0500 (CDT)
To: Kamran Bokhari
Cc:
Subject: Re: INSIGHT – U.S./PAKISTAN – Behind the escalation ***PROTECT
SOURCE & INTEL***
The ISI-CIA battles have moved into a freezing Cold War. Temperature
has dropped significantly.

The Agency is operating against Pakistan with Moscow Rules.

ISI is an enemy combatant.

On 9/27/2011 8:47 PM, Kamran Bokhari wrote:

SOURCE: PK00
ATTRIBUTION: STRATFOR’s Pakistani sources
SOURCE DESCRIPTION: Pak ambo to DC
PUBLICATION: No
SOURCE RELIABILITY: A
ITEM CREDIBILITY: B/C
SPECIAL HANDLING: Not Applicable
SOURCE HANDLER: Kamran

DC has told Islamabad. Help us reconcile with those under your
influence. As for those that are not under your control, either you
take em out or let us do so. The Haqqanis are not entirely under
Pakistani control. They do a lot of independent stuff.

There was a conversation that Islamabad facilitated in the UAE between
DC and the Haqqanis but then these guys turned around and engaged in a
series of attacks. But the Pakistanis aren’t willing to take action
against them. Spoke with Mullen who told me he has been lied to by his
Pak counterparts.

On the Pakistani side, the problem is that they deeply mistrust the
Americans and suspect that the U.S. is going behind its back and
cutting its own deals with the insurgents. Look at how Tayyeb Agha is
missing after the revelations that the U.S. was dealing with him to
reach Mullah Omar. I am getting the sense that the United States has
decided to coerce Pakistan into compliance.

Islamabad still has some time to help de-escalate matters but not a
whole lot. If it continues on its current path then the U.S. could
escalate matters further and engage in fixed wing airstrikes against
militant assets in North Waziristan. The problem has been that the
main Haqqani facility is next door to the Pak army divisional command
in Miramshah.

So in addition to collateral damage given the densely populated area a
U.S. assault on the facility could kill many Pak army personnel. There
is a growing U.S. view that it can always come back to working with
Pakistan. But for now it may need to get tough to shape behavior.

Related Links:
http://wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/284258_re-insight-u-s-pakistan-behind-the-escalation-protect-source.html

WikiLeaks Forum:
http://www.wikileaks-forum.com/index.php/topic,17765.0.html

Cloud Computing in China Can Allways Be Intercepted By The Government

The following EMail will give you a view on chinese Internet SSL/TLS Security and cloud computing in china. The Source of this EMAil is an Stratfor called “Professional hacker” with an own “internet security company that consultswith companies globally including China”. Cloud Computing is one of the most common services providers deliver these days to their users/employees also for companies and agencys in china. but there is still a high risk in china if the websites are hosted in the country. It is way easy for the chinese government to intercept your SSL/TLS connection in china because they have root certificates in their browsers – “can still intercept and see SSL/TLS encrypted traffic because “Chinese
governments can still intercept and see SSL/TLS encrypted traffic because they have root certificates in the browser.” and there is nothing a private person or a company can do against this. The source claims that this is “especially true if they manage the infrastructure and don’t just provide hosting.”

you can see the whole EMail follows here:

INSIGHT – CHINA – Cloud Computing – CN64

Date 2011-02-15 20:51:29
From michael.wilson@stratfor.com
To analysts@stratfor.com
Others Listname: mailto:analysts@stratfor.com
MessageId:
InReplyTo: 4D5ACE22.2000406@stratfor.com

Text
**In response to what we just wrote on the CSM

SOURCE: CN64
ATTRIBUTION: Professional hacker
SOURCE DESCRIPTION: Owns his own internet security company that consults
with companies globally including China
PUBLICATION: Yes
SOURCE RELIABILITY: A
ITEM CREDIBILITY: 1
DISTRIBUTION: Analysts
SPECIAL HANDLING: None
SOURCE HANDLER: Jen

In concept this article is factually correct that it is possible (although
the word “clouds” is probably not ideal – “cloud network” is better).
Some might say things like “Well we only use SSL/TLS connections to the
machines, and we have XYZ security in place to prevent direct tampering.”
The problem is if the site is located within China, the Chinese
governments can still intercept and see SSL/TLS encrypted traffic because
they have root certificates in the browser. Once something is in the
physical hands of the enemy there is virtually nothing that the end
company can do. That is especially true if they manage the infrastructure
and don’t just provide hosting. Overall I think it’s a bad idea for
everyone but China. But I’m sure they’d say the same regarding the NSA’s
spying activities, https://www.eff.org/nsa/hepting So it’s a bit like the
pot calling the kettle black.

—
Jennifer Richmond
China Director
Director of International Projects
richmond@stratfor.com
(512) 744-4324
http://www.stratfor.com

Related Links:
http://wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1126742_insight-china-cloud-computing-cn64-.html

WikiLeaks Forum:
http://www.wikileaks-forum.com/index.php/topic,17764.0.html

Iranian connections into the Muslim Brotherhood Movement in Syria

We could start this post as usual, anyways with some overview or something like this but this seems to be a bigger picture of iran than the most wanted to see. if the informations out of this email are correct than iran has deep ties into the muslim brotherhood movement or et me say it so: “Iran wants regional war.” – the email is from stratfor contact before Friedman says about the source in this mail (this will give you a view on the credibility of the email´s source) ;

“This is the guy who told us there would be a war with Hezbollah in 2006. We ignored him because it didn’t fit our views. Don’t want to do it again. So let’s begin by assuming he’s right and work from there.”

The following email gives you a overview over the happenings in early 2011. The influence of iran in the syrian regime and the plan maybe behind. it is not clear at this point how deep the muslim brotherhood (arab Spring) momvement is controlled / observed by iranian agencys.

the email ends with the quote:

“I expect a major Israeli campaign against Gaza.”

Re: [alpha] INSIGHT – Iran – the Islamic Awakening

Date 2011-03-24 14:45:26
From burton@stratfor.com
To alpha@stratfor.com
Others Listname: mailto:alpha@stratfor.com
MessageId:
InReplyTo: 4D8B481D.8050706@stratfor.com

Text

Spot on

On 3/24/2011 8:33 AM, George Friedman wrote:
> This is an outstanding source with a great record at critical points.
> Let’s not argue with his insights. They frequently do not fit in with
> what we expect him to say. They aren’t always right but they are
> never stupid. So we asked him a question and he provided this
> answer. Let’s spend time trying to see how it effects our point of
> view. What makes it particularly valuable is that it is startling.
>
> This is the guy who told us there would be a war with Hezbollah in
> 2006. We ignored him because it didn’t fit our views. Don’t want to
> do it again. So let’s begin by assuming he’s right and work from there.
>
> On 03/24/11 07:45 , Reva Bhalla wrote:
>> like i said below, will be getting more details on the MB linkages
>> this morning. Not quite sure how Iranian assistance to MB works out
>> or what the motive would even be for a country like Syria. We’ve seen
>> in the past signs of Iranian links to the MB in syria that it uses to
>> pressure the al assads when it needs to, but how far would iran even
>> really want to take that? no idea yet, just throwing this out there.
>>
>> I don’t understand the linkage entirely either. that’s why im waiting
>> for more info to evaluate this properly
>>
>> ————————————————————————
>> *From: *”Bayless Parsley”
>> *To: *”Alpha List”
>> *Sent: *Thursday, March 24, 2011 7:44:45 AM
>> *Subject: *Re: [alpha] INSIGHT – Iran – the Islamic Awakening
>>
>> what about the logic gap on the Iran-Syrian MB statement? i don’t
>> really follow how he is linking those two points.
>>
>> On 3/24/11 7:40 AM, Reva Bhalla wrote:
>>
>> no idea about credibility of that HZ claim. seems doubtful to me
>>
>> ————————————————————————
>> *From: *”Michael Wilson”
>> *To: *”Alpha List”
>> *Sent: *Thursday, March 24, 2011 7:37:47 AM
>> *Subject: *Re: [alpha] INSIGHT – Iran – the Islamic Awakening
>>
>> also the Syria opposition is /claiming/ that Syria is using
>> Hezbollah to put the protestors down. I have no idea on the
>> credibility of this (would they really not be able to do this
>> themselves?) but that would seem to go against Iran wanting to
>> destabilize
>>
>> On 3/24/11 7:29 AM, Bayless Parsley wrote:
>>
>> I don’t follow his linkage of Iran calling this the “Islamic
>> Awakening” and the MB aiding demonstrators in Daraa
>>
>> On 3/24/11 7:25 AM, Benjamin Preisler wrote:
>>
>>
>> PUBLICATION: background – just opinion for now
>> ATTRIBUTION: n/a
>> SOURCE DESCRIPTION: ME1
>> SOURCE RELIABILITY: B
>> ITEM CREDIBILITY: 3
>> DISTRIBUTION: Alpha
>> SOURCE HANDLER: Reva
>>
>> ** just opinion so far from ME1 — will be getting more
>> details on the MB linkages this morning. Not quite sure
>> how Iranian assistance to MB works out or what the motive
>> would even be for a country like Syria. We’ve seen in the
>> past signs of Iranian links to the MB in syria that it
>> uses to pressure the al assads when it needs to, but how
>> far would iran even really want to take that? no idea
>> yet, just throwing this out there.
>>
>> Iran wants regional war. The Iranians are calling the
>> developments in the Arab world “Islamic Awakening.” I
>> think the Iranians want to empower the MB in Egypt and
>> create a Sunni-Shiite religious alliance. This also
>> explains why the MB are giving assistance to the
>> demonstrators in Dir’a in Syria. I would also bring into
>> the picture Turkish search of Iranian cargo planes flying
>> to Aleppo via Turkish air space. Weapons were found on
>> the Syria bound plane when it was forced to land in
>> Diyarbakr. I expect a major Israeli campaign against Gaza.
>>
>>
>>
>> —
>> Michael Wilson
>> Senior Watch Officer, STRATFOR
>> Office: (512) 744 4300 ex. 4112
>> Email: michael.wilson@stratfor.com
>>
>>
>
> —
>
> George Friedman
>
> Founder and CEO
>
> STRATFOR
>
> 221 West 6^th Street
>
> Suite 400
>
> Austin, Texas 78701
>
>
>
> Phone: 512-744-4319
>
> Fax: 512-744-4334
>
>
>

###

Re: [alpha] INSIGHT – Iran – the Islamic Awakening

Date 2011-03-24 14:33:54
From bokhari@stratfor.com
To alpha@stratfor.com
Others Listname: mailto:alpha@stratfor.com
MessageId:
InReplyTo: 1187207356.1470408.1300973557223.JavaMail.root@core.stratfor.com

Text

Will do. Meeting top MB leader Essam el Erian tomorrow morning.

Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T

———————————————————————-

From: Reva Bhalla
Sender: alpha-bounces@stratfor.com
Date: Thu, 24 Mar 2011 08:32:37 -0500 (CDT)
To: Alpha List
ReplyTo: Alpha List
Subject: Re: [alpha] INSIGHT – Iran – the Islamic Awakening
pls get as much detail as you can about what type and level of
coordination there is among Jordanian, Egyptian and Syrian MB branches

———————————————————————-

From: “Kamran Bokhari”
To: “Alpha List”
Sent: Thursday, March 24, 2011 7:58:20 AM
Subject: Re: [alpha] INSIGHT – Iran – the Islamic Awakening

I am sitting with a former MB guy and he tells me that at best the
Egyptian MB respects Iran for its stand and there is a diversity within
the MB as regards this attitude. But the sectarian, ideological, and
nationalistic divides are very strong. MB is very afraid of Iranian push
into the Arab world.

Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T

———————————————————————-

From: Michael Wilson
Sender: alpha-bounces@stratfor.com
Date: Thu, 24 Mar 2011 07:38:17 -0500 (CDT)
To: Alpha List
ReplyTo: Alpha List
Subject: Re: [alpha] INSIGHT – Iran – the Islamic Awakening
also the Syria opposition is claiming that Syria is using Hezbollah to put
the protestors down. I have no idea on the credibility of this (would they
really not be able to do this themselves?) but that would seem to go
against Iran wanting to destabilize

On 3/24/11 7:29 AM, Bayless Parsley wrote:

I don’t follow his linkage of Iran calling this the “Islamic Awakening”
and the MB aiding demonstrators in Daraa

On 3/24/11 7:25 AM, Benjamin Preisler wrote:

PUBLICATION: background – just opinion for now
ATTRIBUTION: n/a
SOURCE DESCRIPTION: ME1
SOURCE RELIABILITY: B
ITEM CREDIBILITY: 3
DISTRIBUTION: Alpha
SOURCE HANDLER: Reva

** just opinion so far from ME1 — will be getting more details on the
MB linkages this morning. Not quite sure how Iranian assistance to MB
works out or what the motive would even be for a country like Syria.
We’ve seen in the past signs of Iranian links to the MB in syria that
it uses to pressure the al assads when it needs to, but how far would
iran even really want to take that? no idea yet, just throwing this
out there.
Iran wants regional war. The Iranians are calling the developments in
the Arab world “Islamic Awakening.” I think the Iranians want to
empower the MB in Egypt and create a Sunni-Shiite religious alliance.
This also explains why the MB are giving assistance to the
demonstrators in Dir’a in Syria. I would also bring into the picture
Turkish search of Iranian cargo planes flying to Aleppo via Turkish
air space. Weapons were found on the Syria bound plane when it was
forced to land in Diyarbakr. I expect a major Israeli campaign

Related Links:
http://wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1139945_re-alpha-insight-iran-the-islamic-awakening-.html
http://wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1148366_re-alpha-insight-iran-the-islamic-awakening-.html
http://wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1155793_re-alpha-insight-iran-the-islamic-awakening-.html

WikiLeaks Forum:
http://www.wikileaks-forum.com/index.php/topic,17716.0.html

Background info on Chinese intelligence/political figures

The following EMail(s) are/is again is from a Former FBI FCI agent – it gives you a short view into the history of chinese intelligence work and the political figures behind and involved. the internal problems and the near future of chinese intelligence services. the EMail is dated -2010-03-05 17:17:18-

Re: INSIGHT-CHINA-Background info on Chinese intelligence/political figures
Date 2010-03-05 17:17:18

From burton@stratfor.com
To sean.noonan@stratfor.com
Others MessageId:
InReplyTo: 4B912E59.60409@stratfor.com

Text

Yes

Sean Noonan wrote:
> this was from IC Smith right? (collating all the insight and adding a
> few modification to the CI China piece right now)
>
> Fred Burton wrote:
>> Interesting historical perspective.
>>
>> Kang sounds like a ruthless SOB.
>> ————————————————————————
>> *From: * Korena Zucha
>> *Date: *Thu, 25 Feb 2010 17:06:03 -0600
>> *To: *’Secure List’
>> *Subject: *INSIGHT-CHINA-Background info on Chinese
>> intelligence/political figures
>>
>> SOURCE: US701
>> ATTRIBUTION: STRATFOR security source
>> SOURCE DESCRIPTION: Former FBI FCI agent
>> PUBLICATION: if desired
>> SOURCE RELIABILITY: Still testing, relatively new source
>> ITEM CREDIBILITY: 2
>> DISTRIBUTION: Secure
>> SPECIAL HANDLING: None
>> SOURCE HANDLER: Fred
>>
>> One of the characteristics of Chinese politics and this applies to the
>> intelligence/security agencies as well, is that rank is not always a
>> firm indicator of importance and power. Remember, Deng Xiaoping never
>> succeeded either Chairman Mao or Premier Zhou, but he was
>> unquestionably the man in charge. It is clear that Kang retained
>> great power and there are those who think Li Kenong was essentially
>> his mouthpiece. I’m not completely sure that’s the case, but at any
>> rate, Kang continued to wield immense power, really up to his death in
>> 1975. But historically I think he falls in that rather gray area
>> where they would just as soon that he is forgotten, but no one has the
>> courage to pull the trigger. And this is, in my view, for two
>> reasons. He was simply brutal (I’ve often times said that never in
>> the history of conflict have the two opposing intelligence chiefs been
>> so completely sadistic as was Kang Sheng and Dai Li.) and given that
>> historical brutality (where he is said to have killed more of his
>> friends than his enemies) it is easy for Chinese today to really not
>> want to remember him. In many ways, I find Kang the single most
>> interesting character coming out of the Chinese Civil War.
>>
>> But also, there is Kang’s role starting the Cultural Revolutionl.
>> Note how the Chinese treat the Gang of Four for instance, relegating
>> them to memories trash can, except to further dump on them, but Kang,
>> (and Mao) have escaped such criticism, relatively speaking. Kang was
>> never threatened during the CR as was Deng and others…including even
>> some of the more prominent generals, i.e.He Long. But most of the
>> future leaders were indeed, treated harshly by the Red Guards (one of
>> Deng’s sons, Deng Pufeng, was thrown out of a window and is in a
>> wheelchair today) and when I chatted with my friend who was affiliated
>> with the MPS/MSS, even he didn’t really want to discuss Kang.
>>
>> I think Kang is one of the more intriguing characters in Chinese
>> history that hasn’t gotten the notoriety and attention he really
>> deserves, though such books as those by Byron and Pack (The Claws of
>> the Dragon) and Faligot and Kauffer (The Chinese Secret Service) are
>> good starts.
>>
>> But his completely sinister background (though he is said to have been
>> able to write calligraphy with both hands, at the same time!) and his
>> role in the CR are the reasons, I believe, he isn’t lionized as
>> perhaps others, i.e. Mao, Zhou Enlai, Deng, Zhe De (who was treated
>> harshly during the CR), He Long, etc. etc.
>>
>> Re Zhou Yangkang….I don’t really know the extent of his influence,
>> but I doubt its as powerful as Kang’s was at the height of his power.
>> Actually, I’m of the opinion that one of the reasons Deng Xiaoping
>> formed the MSS is that he didn’t trust the MPS, which was Kang’s
>> organization and had treated Deng himself badly during the CR. But I
>> have no real idea as to the extent of Zhou’s influence.
>>
>> And as for Jia, he too, seems to have dropped off the scope in many
>> ways. I don’t know if that’s by choice or by design on the part of
>> the ruling elite, but he seems to be in complete
>> retirement…..something that didn’t use to occur in China, especially
>> for those on the reviewing stands, etc. I havent heard of him of him
>> in quite some time…had actually rather forgotten about him. But I
>> should tell you, I don’t keep up with the current comings and goings
>> in China to the extent I did when I had to work for a living.
>
> —
> Sean Noonan
> ADP- Tactical Intelligence
> Mobile: +1 512-758-5967
> Strategic Forecasting, Inc.
> http://www.stratfor.com

Related Links
http://wikileaks.org/gifiles/docs/1655848_re-insight-china-background-info-on-chinese-intelligence.html

http://www.wikileaks-forum.com/index.php/topic,17688.0.html

[EastAsia] INSIGHT – US POV of Uyghers

The following EMail is from 2009-09-14 and will give a view on China US and Uyghers. Also it shows you a short view on Stratfor thoughts about tibe a quote is following:

“This is really different than the Tibet issue in that Tibet is a
bullshit mountainous region, but has been a thorn in the
government’s side because of its large lobbying group abroad, not
because China wanted to integrate the region into China”

The complete EMail:

Re: [EastAsia] INSIGHT – US POV of Uyghers

Date	2009-09-14 14:58:54
From	goodrich@stratfor.com
To	rbaker@stratfor.com richmond@stratfor.com reva.bhalla@stratfor.com eurasia@stratfor.com eastasia@stratfor.com
Others	InReplyTo: 1784067966-1252932718-cardhu_decombobulator_blackberry.rim.net-1601042776-@bda007.bisx.prod.on.blackberry
Text
the way it was put to me (and tell me if I’m wrong Baker), but along with those reasons below Beijing also wants to fold the xinjiang province more economically into the greater Chinese econ, which is hard to do with such hostility there. It would shift xinjiang from being a buffer region to being another stepping stone on their way to conquer CA. Rodger Baker wrote: Etim attacks two years ago, riots this year, greater worry about national stability, want to avoid having xinjiang seen as tibet overseas — Wireless ————————————————————————– From: Peter Zeihan Date: Mon, 14 Sep 2009 07:43:37 -0500 To: Jennifer Richmond Subject: Re: [EastAsia] INSIGHT – US POV of Uyghers why are the chinese thinking that this is something that now needs to be treated differently? what’s changed from their pov? Lauren Goodrich wrote: LG: this one is kinda long, so I tried to divide it up. Really interesting stuff on US view & Russian meddling Can follow-up if you have questions Rodger or Jen. CODE: KZ105 PUBLICATION: if needed SOURCE DESCRIPTION: Former State and USAID specialist on Uyghers SOURCE LEVEL: medium ITEM CREDIBILITY: 2 SUGGESTED DISTRIBUTION: Analysts & EA & Eurasia HANDLER: Lauren China: basic shifts and feelings on Uyghers China has shifted dramatically in how it looks at Xinxang. Before it was just a bufferzone to be contained and suppressed. But now Beijing wants to fully incorporate the region into China economically, so it is more than just contained and suppressed now…. Now they need real order and loyalty. Before they allowed an independent streak in that as long as the Uighers didn’t act out everything was okay, but now Beijing can’t risk even that. This is really different than the Tibet issue in that Tibet is a bullshit mountainous region, but has been a thorn in the government’s side because of its large lobbying group abroad, not because China wanted to integrate the region into China further-Xingxiang is different because now Beijing wants to integrate the region and it doesn’t have a large lobbying group. — Lauren Goodrich Director of Analysis Senior Eurasia Analyst STRATFOR T: 512.744.4311 F: 512.744.4334 lauren.goodrich@stratfor.com http://www.stratfor.com

[Insight] INSIGHT – India/Tibet – IN101

The following Stratfor EMail is about tibet in 2008 and the protests of this year. you find a wikipedia article right here:

english: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2008_Tibetan_unrest

german: http://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tibetische_Unruhen_2008

It gives you a short view from a guy that is a “Well-connected guy in Indian policy, military,
financial circles”

http://www.wikileaks-forum.com/index.php/topic,17659.0.html

Date	2008-03-17 23:07:59
From	bhalla@stratfor.com
To	reporting@stratfor.com
Others	Listname: mailto:reporting@stratfor.com MessageId: <028e01c8887b$5c838fe0$bb01a8c0@stratfor.com> InReplyTo: 029a01c8887c$c572daa0$bb01a8c0@stratfor.com
Text
PUBLICATION: NoATTRIBUTION: Source in New Delhi SOURCE DESCRIPTION: Well-connected guy in Indian policy, military, financial circles SOURCE Reliability : B ITEM CREDIBILITY: 2 SPECIAL HANDLING: N/A SOURCE HANDLER: Reva On a macro view – no these protests were not planned to be violent. Yes, this year was a bit different – like a bubble which has been building up; but also China’s global role vis a vis the Olympics played a role. To my 2 cents, there is no sign of India’s involvement – if you were to look, India has been squirming to get an official reaction out. India does not want any China-related issue to be raised – the government is too reticent to bring any India-China issue away from the “dialogue”.

INSIGHT – CHINA – Tibet’s shrinking international space?

The following EMail gives you- a short view about the political situation in Tibet. It is about the Dalai Lama and his polical influence. The EMail is from – 2011-08-18 and will give you a short proof of the stratfor sources in china/tibet and some information about the situation in mid 2011.

http://www.wikileaks-forum.com/index.php/topic,17658.0.html

INSIGHT – CHINA – Tibet’s shrinking international space? – CN125

Date	2011-08-18 05:37:25
From	richmond@stratfor.com
To	secure@stratfor.com
Others	InReplyTo: 1205890562-1313634578-cardhu_decombobulator_blackberry.rim.net-642315802-@b27.c2.bise6.blackberry
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**In response to our diary on Tibet (which he also praised).SOURCE: CN125 ATTRIBUTION: STRATFOR source SOURCE DESCRIPTION: Chinese activist and dissident PUBLICATION: Yes, but see me first about wording SOURCE RELIABILITY: B (so far) ITEM CREDIBILITY: B/C he has biases but he’s within these circles so it speaks to their concerns SPECIAL HANDLING: Sent to secure because the source is sensitive, not because the information is SOURCE HANDLER: Jen I would like to add one thought about one of difficulties facing the Tibetans with the Dalai Lama fading out of politics. Lobsang Sanggay, only a political leader, won’t allow the world’s leaders the flexibility the Dalai Lama, both religious and political leader, did for them to openly engage with him, for there is a single country on earth is having formal diplomatic relationship with the Central Tibetan Administration, aka, the Tibetan Government in exile. Would that mean their international space would shrink as a result? — Jennifer Richmond China Director Director of International Projects STRATFOR w: 512-744-4105 c: 512-422-9335 richmond@stratfor.com http://www.stratfor.com

INSIGHT – PAKISTAN – Key 3-star on the tensions with the U.S. – PK7 *******PROTECT SOURCE*******

The following EMail shows you a conflict between Pakistan Forces and US Troops. the EMail is dated on 10/5/10 12:23PM and comes from a Newly promoted Lt-Gen and appointed head of the 1st Corps.Used to run the Frontier Corps before that. He is Talking about a case of friendly fire and he gives a view on the US Army work. He claims that the Army has make several mistakes and started a friendly fire situation:

“They picked up an Afghan source who deliberately mislead them into engaging
our post. The enquiry reveals that the US pilots having lived in the
area for 11 months did not even know the geography and had not marked
their maps. They did not use the instruments that we had put into place
for coordination i.e. liaison officers, joint border coordination cell
or the video conferencing…..”it was a case of friendly fire (it was
gross incompetence and total lack of concern), This has no impact (
everyday there is a squeal form some quarter or another). I want a
public apology…”

Please read here the Full Stratfor EMail.

http://www.wikileaks-forum.com/index.php/topic,17641.0.html

http://wikileaks.org/gifiles/releasedate/2013-02-21-00-insight-pakistan-key-3-star-on-the-tensions.html

Date	2010-10-05 19:33:51
From	michael.wilson@stratfor.com
To	secure@stratfor.com
Others	MessageId: <4CAB617F.4010109@stratfor.com> InReplyTo: 4CAB5F28.8020209@stratfor.com
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“They did not use the instruments that we had put into place for coordination i.e. liaison officers, joint border coordination cell or the video conferencing.”The seems to go along with the reports that US was going it alone without the pakistanis when targetting haqqani network. And this is what happens when you do that. ……..I almost have to wonder if the Pakistanis, faced with US forces going on there own to target Haqqani, facilitated this afghan source because they wante to show the US that bad things happen when US tries to go alone On 10/5/10 12:23 PM, Kamran Bokhari wrote: CODE: PK7 PUBLICATION: Analysis DESCRIPTION: Newly promoted Lt-Gen and appointed head of the 1st Corps. Used to run the Frontier Corps until last week. ATTRIBUTION: STRATFOR sources in Pakistan SOURCE RELIABILITY: A ITEM CREDIBILITY: 1 SPECIAL HANDLING: Not Applicable DISTRIBUTION: Analysts HANDLER: Kamran Kamran, good to hear from you. Thank you for your kind sentiments. I have taken over 1 Corps which is transitioning into Central Command for the Pak Army i.e. it shall coordinate operations for 30 and 11 Corps while maintaining 1 Corps and 19 Division as well as the FC as direct command troops. Its not there yet and will take a while before it really completes the transformation. The killing of the troops was based on typical arrogance and ignorance that is a trait of the US Army. They picked up an Afghan source who deliberately mislead them into engaging our post. The enquiry reveals that the US pilots having lived in the area for 11 months did not even know the geography and had not marked their maps. They did not use the instruments that we had put into place for coordination i.e. liaison officers, joint border coordination cell or the video conferencing. As such my response was swift, serious and conclusive. The ball is in their court; the FC cannot be treated like this and I had told them, no drones or cross border activity in my AOR since I am clear what to do. You can use this information but please do not quote me since it will be a breach of institutional ethics. You shall hear a mix of confused statements, i.e. we are looking for alternative routes ( I know nothing can support operations as this route so that is a lot of bull), that the road will open soon, (it will only open when we are satisfied), it was a case of friendly fire (it was gross incompetence and total lack of concern), This has no impact ( everyday there is a squeal form some quarter or another). I want a public apology, compensation for the families of the shaheeds and wounded, new rules of engagement, punishment for the offenders, definition of a no fly zone parallel to the border. Take care and watch the fun. — Michael Wilson Senior Watch Officer, STRATFOR Office: (512) 744 4300 ex. 4112 Email: michael.wilson@stratfor.com